Intent to cooperate: ITALY – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (69% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Public statement: MALAYSIA — Rawang, Selangor, Malaysia
- Coercion: NIGERIA — Ondo State, Ondo, Nigeria
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: GOVERNANCE – BEIJING — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: BEIJING – GOVERNANCE — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: CHINA – BUSINESS — China
Intent to cooperate: BUSINESS — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: GOVERNMENT – CHINA — China
Intent to cooperate: GOVERNMENT – PRIME MINISTER — China
Intent to cooperate: CHINA – XI JINPING — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: XIAMEN – FINNISH — Xiamen, Fujian, China
Intent to cooperate: XI JINPING – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: DPRK – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: FINNISH – XIAMEN — Xiamen, Fujian, China
Intent to cooperate: XIAMEN – FINNISH — Xiamen, Fujian, China
Intent to cooperate: FINNISH – XIAMEN — Xiamen, Fujian, China
Intent to cooperate: AUSTRALIA — Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
Intent to cooperate: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Intent to cooperate: GREEK — Wuhan, Hubei, China
Intent to cooperate: COMPANY — China
Intent to cooperate: AUSTRALIA — Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
Intent to cooperate: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China