Coercion: BANGLADESH — Matarbari, Chittagong, Bangladesh
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Flash Flood Warning issued June 17 at 4:55AM CDT until June 17 at 8:00AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX FFWHGX The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... So
- Intent to cooperate: RULER – NIGERIA — Ekiti State, Ekiti, Nigeria
- Consultation: FRANCE – BRATISLAVA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: KUWAIT — Pakistan
- Public statement: PORTUGUESE – DELEGATE — Limeira, SãPaulo, Brazil
- Diplomatic cooperation: SAUDI ARABIA — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: POLICE – ITALY — Milan, Lombardia, Italy
- Assault: NALCHIK – RUSSIA — Nalchik, Kabardino-Balkariya, Russia
The events behind it
Coercion: BANGLADESH – AUTHORITIES — Bengali, Bangladesh (general), Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH – RESIDENTS — Bengali, Bangladesh (general), Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESHI — Tetulbaria, Bangladesh (general), Bangladesh
Coercion: BENGALI – RESIDENTS — Bengali, Bangladesh (general), Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH – BORDER SECURITY — Bangladesh
Coercion: MIZORAM – BORDER SECURITY — Bangladesh
Coercion: JUDGE – BANGLADESH — Bangladesh
Coercion: JUDGE – BORDER GUARD — Bangladesh
Coercion: BORDER GUARD – BANGLADESHI — Bengali, Bangladesh (general), Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH — Matarbari, Chittagong, Bangladesh
Coercion: JUDGE – BANGLADESH — Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH — Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH – LONDON — Bangladesh
Coercion: MAYOR – LONDON — Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH — Keraniganj, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH — Keraniganj, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH – LONDON — Bangladesh
Coercion: MAYOR – LONDON — Bangladesh
Coercion: BANGLADESH — Bangladesh
Coercion: FARMER — Bangladesh