Consultation: ARMENIAN β ARMENIA β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (89% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Intent to cooperate: EUROPE β IRAN β Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- Armed clash: UNITED KINGDOM β Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
- Consultation: SABAH β Johor, Johor, Malaysia
- Consultation: LUXEMBOURG β THE EU β Luxembourg
- Public statement: IRELAND β Ireland
- Coercion: CONGRESS β Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India
- Public statement: MINIST β EGYPT β Egypt
- Concession: EGYPT β COMPANIES β Russia
The events behind it
Consultation: FRANCE β ARMENIA β Armenia
Consultation: FRENCH β ARMENIA β Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIAN β FRENCH β Armenia
Consultation: PARIS β FRENCH β Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIA β FRENCH β Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIAN β ARMENIA β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: AZERBAIJAN β ARMENIA β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: AZERBAIJAN β ARMENIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Consultation: AZERBAIJANI β ARMENIAN β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: FOREIGN MINIST β ARMENIA β Armenia
Consultation: FOREIGN MINIST β AZERBAIJAN β Armenia
Consultation: LUXEMBOURG β EU β Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIA β THE EU β Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIA β AZERBAIJAN β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIAN β AZERBAIJANI β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIA β AZERBAIJAN β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIA β ARMENIAN β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: AZERBAIJAN β ARMENIA β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: ARMENIA β AZERBAIJAN β Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
Consultation: FOREIGN MINIST β AZERBAIJAN β Armenia