Coercion: AHMEDABAD – GANG — Bihar, Bihar, India
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (89% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Consultation: LUXEMBOURG — Mensdorf, Grevenmacher, Luxembourg
- Concession: AUTHORITIES – RUSSIA — Dagestan, Dagestan, Russia
- Consultation: AZERBAIJANI – ARMENIAN — Dilijan, Tavush, Armenia
- Consultation: HOSPITAL — Gurun, Kedah, Malaysia
- Intent to cooperate: EUROPE — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
- Armed clash: UTAH – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
- Public statement: MINIST – EGYPT — Egypt
- Diplomatic cooperation: QATAR – HOSPITAL — Doha, Ad Daw?ah, Qatar
The events behind it
Coercion: BORDER GUARD – BANGLADESHI — Siliguri, West Bengal, India
Coercion: BORDER GUARD – BANGLADESHI — Siliguri, West Bengal, India
Coercion: UNIVERSITY — Delhi, Delhi, India
Coercion: HINDU – RULER — Mewar, Rajasthan, India
Coercion: DELHI – UNIVERSITY — Delhi, Delhi, India
Coercion: DELHI — Delhi, Delhi, India
Coercion: HINDU – RULER — Mewar, Rajasthan, India
Coercion: NEW DELHI – DELHI — Delhi, Delhi, India
Coercion: NEW DELHI — Delhi, Delhi, India
Coercion: COMPANY — India
Coercion: COLOMBIA – INDIGENOUS — Madras, Tamil Nadu, India
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM – ILLEGAL MIGRANT — India
Coercion: BANGLADESH — India
Coercion: KANPUR — Kanpur, Uttar Pradesh, India
Coercion: AHMEDABAD – GANG — Bihar, Bihar, India
Coercion: GUJARAT – BANGLADESHI — India
Coercion: GUJARAT – BANGLADESHI — India
Coercion: STUDENT – GOVERNMENT — Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India
Coercion: ADMINISTRATION – UNITED STATES — India
Coercion: DELHI – HIGH COURT — Bihar, Bihar, India