Relations downgrade: CHINA – COMPANIES — Iran
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- [Delayed Report] On Jun 16, at 2:20 PM CDT, Brooklyn [Forrest Co, MS] Broadcast Media reports Flash Flood. One to two feet of flood water covered residential property per social media post relayed by
- Intent to cooperate: GOVERNOR – NIGERIA — Oyo State, Oyo, Nigeria
- Consultation: FRANCE – BRATISLAVA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: PAKISTANI – MILITARY — Kashmir, North-West Frontier, Pakistan
- Public statement: DELEGATE – PORTUGAL — Limeira, SãPaulo, Brazil
- Diplomatic cooperation: FIELD MARSHAL — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT — Roma, Lazio, Italy
- Assault: COMPANIES — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
The events behind it
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – RUSSIA — Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – RUSSIA — Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – UN — Iran
Relations downgrade: ADMINISTRATION – OPEC — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Iran
Relations downgrade: CHINA – COMPANIES — Iran
Relations downgrade: CHINA – COMPANIES — Iran
Relations downgrade: IRAN — Iran
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIAN – ISRAEL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: IRAN – FRANCE — Iran
Relations downgrade: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Minab, Sistan va Baluchestan, Iran
Relations downgrade: PAKISTAN – UNITED STATES — Iran
Relations downgrade: LEBANESE – YEMENI — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Relations downgrade: IRAN – ISRAEL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran