Intent to cooperate: THE POPE — Rome, Lazio, Italy
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (64% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Assault: JAMAICA — India
- Aid provision: GERMANY – UKRAINE — Ukraine
- Diplomatic cooperation: JAPAN — Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Consultation: CUBA — Venezuela
- Intent to cooperate: IRELAND — Ireland
- Public statement: HASSAN — Shimoni, Rift Valley, Kenya
- Investigation: HERMOSILLO — Israel
- Diplomatic cooperation: CABINET — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: JORDAN – ITALIAN — Italy
Intent to cooperate: JORDAN – ITALIAN — Italy
Intent to cooperate: COLOMBIA — Borgo Panigale, Emilia-Romagna, Italy
Intent to cooperate: THE POPE — Rome, Lazio, Italy
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – ITALY — Italy
Intent to cooperate: CHINA – ITALY — Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY – FRANCE — Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY – FRANCE — Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY – CHINA — Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY – CHINA — Italy
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – ITALY — Italy
Intent to cooperate: CHINA – ITALY — Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY — Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY — Italy
Intent to cooperate: PROTESTANT — Rome, Lazio, Italy
Intent to cooperate: COMPANY — Mercato, Campania, Italy
Intent to cooperate: ITALY – SPAIN — Porto Cervo, Sardegna, Italy
Intent to cooperate: INVESTOR — Portofino, Liguria, Italy
Intent to cooperate: SPAIN — Porto Cervo, Sardegna, Italy
Intent to cooperate: UNITED STATES – CANADA — Italy