Consultation: CUBA β Venezuela
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (64% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Assault: JAMAICA β India
- Aid provision: GERMANY β UKRAINE β Ukraine
- Investigation: HERMOSILLO β Israel
- Diplomatic cooperation: JAPAN β Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Intent to cooperate: IRELAND β Ireland
- Public statement: HASSAN β Shimoni, Rift Valley, Kenya
- Intent to cooperate: THE POPE β Rome, Lazio, Italy
- Diplomatic cooperation: CABINET β Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
The events behind it
Consultation: ADMINISTRATION β CARACAS β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: INDUSTRY β THE WHITE HOUSE β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: INDUSTRY β UNITED STATES β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: CARACAS β ADMINISTRATION β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: ENERGY SECRETARY β VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: CARACAS β VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: CARACAS β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: CARACAS β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: VENEZUELA β CARACAS β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: VENEZUELA β ENERGY SECRETARY β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: COMPANIES β OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORPORATION β Venezuela
Consultation: CUBA β Venezuela
Consultation: DIOSDADO CABELLO β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: DIOSDADO CABELLO β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: VENEZUELA β THE WHITE HOUSE β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: VENEZUELA β ADMINISTRATION β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: THE WHITE HOUSE β VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Consultation: ADMINISTRATION β VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela