Disapproval: EGYPT – CHINA — China

No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 7 days (88% of the days we've watched).

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.

Patterns that recur together

On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.

Appeal: POLICE — Islamabad, Islamabad, Pakistan1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Coercion: POLICE — China1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Demand: DETECTIVE – PROSECUTOR1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Investigation: GANG — Kannauj, Uttar Pradesh, India1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Aid provision: SECURITY PERSONNEL — Ahoro, Nigeria (general), Nigeria1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Aid provision: IRAN — France1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Public statement: CHRISTIAN — Germany1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Consultation: THE POPE – SOUTH KOREA — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea1.9× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later

The events behind it

Disapproval: ZHENGZHOU – MANUFACTURER — Henan, Henan, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Henan, Henan, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: BEIJING – JAPAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA – JAPAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: BEIJING – JAPAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA – BUDDHIST MONK — China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA – UNITED STATES — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA – UNITED STATES — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA – PRESIDENT — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA — Lin Jian, Shanghai, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Lin Jian, Shanghai, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA – MYANMAR — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: MALAYSIA — Hainan, Hainan, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Hainan, Hainan, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: LECTURER – MYANMAR — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA — Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA – MYANMAR — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL — Yangtze River, China (general), China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Yangtze River, China (general), China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: TSINGTAO — Tsingtao, Shandong, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Tsingtao, Shandong, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA — Lin Jian, Shanghai, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Lin Jian, Shanghai, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: CHINA – TAIWAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Beijing, Beijing, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Disapproval: COMPANY – CHINA — Tsingtao, Shandong, China
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Tsingtao, Shandong, China·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC

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🔁 Disapproval: EGYPT – CHINA — China

How accurate have we been?

Patterns that recur together

The events behind it

Disapproval: EGYPT – CHINA — China