Appeal: MINIST OF HEALTH — New Zealand
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Flash Flood Warning issued June 17 at 7:24AM CDT until June 17 at 1:30PM CDT by NWS Quad Cities IA IL FFWDVN The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Johns
- Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE – NIGERIA — Nigeria
- Consultation: FRANCE – BRATISLAVA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: DEALER — Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
- Public statement: BRAZIL – SCIENTIST — Brazil
- Diplomatic cooperation: SAUDI ARABIA – CHINA — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: IRAN — Castel Gandolfo, Lazio, Italy
- Assault: UNITED KINGDOM – UKRAINE — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
The events behind it
Appeal: UNITED STATES — New Zealand
Appeal: JOURNALIST — New Zealand
Appeal: CHIEF EXECUTIVE — New Zealand
Appeal: NEW ZEALAND – CHIEF EXECUTIVE — New Zealand
Appeal: BOUGAINVILLE – MELANESIAN — Burnham, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: AUCKLAND – MONK — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Appeal: COMMANDER – AUCKLAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Appeal: GOVERNMENT — Burnham, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: NEW ZEALAND — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: RESIDENTS – POLICE — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: TRAVELLER – UNITED STATES — New Zealand
Appeal: UNITED STATES – TRAVELLER — New Zealand
Appeal: TRAVELLER – GALAPAGOS — New Zealand
Appeal: TRAVELLER — New Zealand
Appeal: NEW ZEALAND – CAREGIVER — Rarawa, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: NEW ZEALAND — Rarawa, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: CAREGIVER — Rarawa, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Appeal: NEW ZEALAND – AUSTRALIA — New Zealand
Appeal: AUSTRALIA – NEW ZEALAND — New Zealand
Appeal: INDUSTRY – NEW ZEALAND — New Zealand