Intent to cooperate: AUSTRALIA – UNITED STATES — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- NASA Uses Machine Learning to Enhance Flash Flood Warnings https://www.europesays.com/ie/539389/ Created with support from NASA’s Earth Science Technology Office (ESTO), TACLS leverages machine learni
- Intent to cooperate: MINIST — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
- Consultation: PRIME MINISTER – SLOVAKIA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Pakistan
- Public statement: PROSECUTOR — Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil
- Diplomatic cooperation: CABINET — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: ITALY — Italy
- Assault: FRANCE – RUSSIA — Ust Luga, Leningradskaya Oblast', Russia
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: NEW ZEALAND — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: AUSTRALIA – UNITED STATES — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: NEW ZEALAND – SETTLEMENT — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: SCHOOL — Horowhenua, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: SETTLEMENT – NEW ZEALAND — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: UNITED STATES – IRAN — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: AUSTRALIA — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: GOVERNMENT — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: NEW ZEALAND — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: SYRIA – ISRAEL — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: JORDAN – SYRIA — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: JORDAN – SYRIA — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: EGYPT – JORDAN — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: JORDAN – ISRAEL — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: LEBANON – ISRAEL — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: ISRAEL – SYRIA — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: DOCTOR – NEW ZEALANDER — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: LEBANON – EGYPT — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: EGYPT – SYRIA — New Zealand
Intent to cooperate: ISRAEL – JORDAN — New Zealand