Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – PRIME MINISTER — Paris, France (general), France
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (69% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: UN – FRANCE — France
Intent to cooperate: ADMINISTRATION — France
Intent to cooperate: UNITED STATES — Paris, France (general), France
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT — France
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT – GERMANY — France
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT – FRENCH — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT – FRENCH — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT — France
Intent to cooperate: UNITED KINGDOM – MIGRANT — France
Intent to cooperate: FRENCH – PRESIDENT — France
Intent to cooperate: FRENCH – PRESIDENT — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: PRIME MINISTER — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – PRIME MINISTER — Evian, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – PRIME MINISTER — Paris, France (general), France
Intent to cooperate: PRIME MINISTER – FRANCE — Paris, France (general), France
Intent to cooperate: PRIME MINISTER – FRANCE — Evian, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – PRIME MINISTER — Evian, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: UKRAINE — France
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – EUROPEAN — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT – THE WHITE HOUSE — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France