DefaxonA live map of what's happening on Earth.MetricsGet the data

Material cooperation: JERUSALEM β€” Jerusalem, Israel (general), Israel

No next occurrence is being forecast right now β€” this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 9 days (69% of the days we've watched).

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β€” its rhythm β€” not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record β€” no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to βœ“ or βœ— over time.

Patterns that recur together

On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β€” an observation, not causation.

The events behind it

← Back to the live map

Material cooperation: JERUSALEM β€” Jerusalem, Israel (general), Israel β€” recurring pattern Β· Defaxon