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Magnitude : 4.4 Region: Qinghai, China Time: 2026-06-17 07:28:01 UTC Epicenter : 95.54°E 37.89°N Depth: 10 km https://geofon.gfz.de/eqexplorer/events/gfz2026ltru/general #GEOFON #GFZ #earthquake #magn

No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 9 days (90% of the days we've watched), usually around 10:45 UTC.

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.

Patterns that recur together

On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.

The events behind it

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