Rejection: LAWYER – PRIVATE CITIZEN — Russia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (58% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Rejection: CONGRESS – OBAMA
- Consultation: GREEK – PRISON — Korydallos, Perifereia Thessalias, Greece
- Investigation: LAWYER – DOCTOR
- Public statement: TRIBUNAL — Japan
- Diplomatic cooperation: MINIST – COMPANIES — Suez Canal, As Suways, Egypt
- Public statement: IRAN — Castel Gandolfo, Lazio, Italy
- Concession: KUWAIT — Pakistan
- Diplomatic cooperation: MINIST OF ENERGY – KING — Saudi Arabia
The events behind it
Rejection: FRANCE — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: GERMANY – UKRAINE — Russia
Rejection: FRANCE – VLADIMIR PUTIN — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: UKRAINE – RUSSIA — Kerch Strait, Russia (general), Russia
Rejection: RUSSIA — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: PRIME MINISTER – RUSSIA — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: RUSSIA — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: CAPTAIN — Russia
Rejection: LAWYER – PRIVATE CITIZEN — Russia
Rejection: UNITED STATES – PRIVATE CITIZEN — Russia
Rejection: CAMEROONIAN – RUSSIA — Ust Luga, Leningradskaya Oblast', Russia
Rejection: RUSSIA — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: RUSSIA – UKRAINE — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: IRAN – UKRAINE — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: RUSSIA – UKRAINE — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: POLITICIAN — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: RUSSIA – SPAIN — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: SETTLEMENT – MOSCOW — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: SETTLEMENT – UNITED STATES — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Rejection: SETTLEMENT – WASHINGTON — Moscow, Moskva, Russia