Rejection: GOVERNMENT
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (58% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Rejection: SETTLEMENT – MOSCOW — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
- Consultation: OIL TANKER – AFRICA — Athens, AttikíR, Greece
- Investigation: TOYOTA
- Public statement: RADIO STATION — Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Diplomatic cooperation: MOROCCAN – EGYPTIAN — Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt
- Public statement: ITALY — Italy
- Concession: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Pakistan
- Diplomatic cooperation: CABINET — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
The events behind it
Rejection: DRESDEN
Rejection: CRIMINAL
Rejection: UNIVERSITY
Rejection: RESIDENTS – SCHOOL
Rejection: RETIRED – DAKOTA
Rejection: BOUGAINVILLE – MELANESIAN
Rejection: RESIDENTS
Rejection: GOVERNMENT
Rejection: JUDGE
Rejection: EMPLOYEE
Rejection: PRIME MINISTER – KHALEDA ZIA
Rejection: NAGA – SECURITY FORCE
Rejection: INDUSTRY – WORKER
Rejection: MINIST – PARLIAMENT
Rejection: POLICE
Rejection: WORKER – COMPANY
Rejection: MICROSOFT
Rejection: CHAMBER
Rejection: AUTHORITIES
Rejection: SUFI