Threat: POLICE — Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh, India
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- HGX issues Flash Flood Warning [flash flood: radar indicated] for Chambers, Harris, Liberty [TX] till Jun 17, 10:30 AM CDT at Wed, 17 Jun 2026 12:34:31 +0000 via IEMbot Additional Details Here.
- Assault: UKRAINE – RUSSIA — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
- Diplomatic cooperation: RIYADH – LEBANESE — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: MAYOR — Arezzo, Toscana, Italy
- Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – PROTESTER — Oyo State, Oyo, Nigeria
- Public statement: BRAZILIAN – MEDIA — Brazil
- Consultation: EUROPE – BRATISLAVA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: PAKISTANI – MILITARY — Kashmir, North-West Frontier, Pakistan
The events behind it
Threat: FARMER – TAMIL NADU — Tamil Nadu, Tamil Nadu, India
Threat: POLITICAL PARTIES – TAMIL NADU — Tamil Nadu, Tamil Nadu, India
Threat: GUJARAT – SCHOOL — Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India
Threat: GUJARAT – SCHOOL — Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India
Threat: BHOPAL — Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India
Threat: BANK — Tamilnad, Tamil Nadu, India
Threat: POLICE — Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh, India
Threat: COMMUNITY — Satkosia, Orissa, India
Threat: HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH – AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL — India
Threat: SENA — Delhi, Delhi, India
Threat: SENA — Shiv, Rajasthan, India
Threat: UN – THE UN — Delhi, Delhi, India
Threat: GHANA – MANUFACTURER — India
Threat: POPULATION — Guwahati, Assam, India
Threat: MAHARASHTRA – SENA — Shiv, Rajasthan, India
Threat: CONGRESS — Delhi, Delhi, India
Threat: SENA — Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Threat: DELHI — Delhi, Delhi, India
Threat: DELHI — New Delhi, Delhi, India
Threat: DELHI — Shiv, Rajasthan, India