Consultation: AMSTERDAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Assault: RESIDENTS β Kaduna, Kaduna, Nigeria
- Diplomatic cooperation: UKRAINIAN β UKRAINE β France
- Public statement: IRELAND β Carlow, Carlow, Ireland
- Public statement: EGYPT β ISRAEL β Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt
- Disapproval: ANKARA β KYIV β Kyiv, Kyyiv, Misto, Ukraine
- Diplomatic cooperation: QATAR β Doha, Ad Daw?ah, Qatar
- Diplomatic cooperation: POLAND β GERMAN β Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Intent to cooperate: JAPANESE β COMPANY β Japan
The events behind it
Consultation: EUROPE β Netherlands
Consultation: EUROPE β Netherlands
Consultation: AMSTERDAM β HANOI β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: AMSTERDAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: VIETNAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: AMSTERDAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: VIETNAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: HANOI β AMSTERDAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: VIETNAM β NETHERLANDS β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: AMSTERDAM β HANOI β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: VIETNAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: AMSTERDAM β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Consultation: NETHERLANDS β PRIME MINISTER β Leeuwarden, Friesland, Netherlands
Consultation: NETHERLANDS β Netherlands
Consultation: PRIME MINISTER β NETHERLANDS β Leeuwarden, Friesland, Netherlands
Consultation: GERMANY β Netherlands
Consultation: COMMENTATOR β Netherlands
Consultation: NETHERLANDS β GERMANY β Netherlands
Consultation: GERMANY β NETHERLANDS β Netherlands
Consultation: NETHERLANDS β Netherlands