Consultation: REGIME β SYRIA β Syria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Rejection: GOVERNMENT β NIGERIAN β Nigeria
- Diplomatic cooperation: SINGAPORE β Qatar
- Intent to cooperate: SCIENTIST β HIROSHIMA β Hiroshima, Hiroshima, Japan
- Consultation: REFUGEE β Norway
- Diplomatic cooperation: GREECE β UN β Cyprus
- Threat: LEBANON β ISRAEL β Lebanon
- Armed clash: VILLAGE β West Bank
- Assault: RUSSIA β Pokrovsk, Mordoviya, Russia
The events behind it
Consultation: IRAN β LEBANON β Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β LEBANON β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: LEBANON β SYRIA β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: ISLAMIC β SYRIA β Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β LEBANON β Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β ISLAMIC β Syria
Consultation: HASSAN β PRESIDENT β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β ATTORNEY β Syria
Consultation: UNITED STATES β Syria
Consultation: UNITED STATES β SYRIA β Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β UNITED STATES β Syria
Consultation: UNITED STATES β Syria
Consultation: ATTORNEY β SYRIA β Syria
Consultation: ADVOCATE β Syria
Consultation: QATAR β SYRIA β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β QATAR β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: SYRIA β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: PRESIDENT β SYRIA β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Consultation: SYRIAN β AUTHORITIES β Damascus, Dimashq, Syria