Disapproval: CANADA — Canada
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Public statement: EGYPT – ISRAEL — Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt
- Diplomatic cooperation: QATAR — Doha, Ad Daw?ah, Qatar
- Diplomatic cooperation: POLAND – GERMAN — Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Public statement: IRELAND — Carlow, Carlow, Ireland
- Assault: RESIDENTS — Kaduna, Kaduna, Nigeria
- Disapproval: ANKARA – KYIV — Kyiv, Kyyiv, Misto, Ukraine
- Consultation: AMSTERDAM — Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
- Diplomatic cooperation: UKRAINIAN – UKRAINE — France
The events behind it
Disapproval: CHINA — Canada
Disapproval: CANADA — Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Disapproval: SAINT — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Disapproval: SAINT — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Disapproval: MONTREAL — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: MONTREAL – CANADA — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: FARMER — Assiniboine River, Manitoba, Canada
Disapproval: CANADA — Canada
Disapproval: CANADA — Quebec, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: UNITED STATES – PRESIDENT — Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Disapproval: QATAR – NAVAL OFFICER — Canada
Disapproval: PROTESTER — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: CANADA — Quebec, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: CANADA – MONTREAL — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: PRESIDENT — Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Disapproval: CANADA – ONTARIO — Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Disapproval: CANADA – ONTARIO — Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Disapproval: CANADA — Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Disapproval: SUPERIOR COURT – MONTREAL — Quebec, Quebec, Canada
Disapproval: SEPARATIST — Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada