Public statement: CITIZEN — Kalyan, Maharashtra, India
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days (45% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Public statement: MINIST – AIRLINE — Bangkok, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand
- Consultation: HAVANA — Santa Clara, Villa Clara, Cuba
- Public statement: NEW SOUTH WALES – GREECE — Neos Kosmos, Perifereia Peloponnisou, Greece
- Coercion: IRELAND — Carnsore Point, Wexford, Ireland
- Public statement: TURKISH — Ankara, Ankara, Turkey
- Material cooperation: BANGKOK – LONDON — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
- Consultation: SOMALI — Italy
- Appeal: INVESTOR – GOVERNMENT — Germany
The events behind it
Public statement: CHIEF MINISTER – FARMER — Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
Public statement: IRAN – PRIME MINISTER — New Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: SUPREME COURT — Shiv, Rajasthan, India
Public statement: CHIEF MINISTER — Ayodhya, Uttar Pradesh, India
Public statement: EMBASSY – IRAN — Tamil Nadu, Tamil Nadu, India
Public statement: MINISTRY – UNITED STATES — Hindustan, India (general), India
Public statement: MADRAS – BUSINESS — Madras, Tamil Nadu, India
Public statement: IRAN – PRIME MINISTER — New Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: IRAN — New Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: MEDIA — Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
Public statement: SEAMEN — Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: SEAMEN – OMAN — Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: COMPANY — New Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: COMPANY – ANDHRA PRADESH — Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh, India
Public statement: BUSINESS – REUTERS — Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Delhi, Delhi, India
Public statement: PRIME MINISTER — India
Public statement: CHIEF MINISTER – REPRESENTATIVES — Kolkata, West Bengal, India
Public statement: HINDU — Vishnu Pur, West Bengal, India
Public statement: HINDU — Delhi, Delhi, India