Material cooperation: COMPANY – CHINA — United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (62% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Threat: IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
- Consultation: FRANCE – QATAR — Qatar
- Public statement: CONGRESS — New Delhi, Delhi, India
- Aid provision: HINDU – COMMUNITY — Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India
- Coercion: JUDGE — Knockbridge, Louth, Ireland
- Public statement: IRAN – SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
- Consultation: CUBAN — Contramaestre, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
- Public statement: BANGKOK — Bangkok, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand
The events behind it
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – SRI LANKA — United Kingdom
Material cooperation: PARLIAMENT – MANCHESTER — Greater Manchester, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED STATES — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: PROSECUTOR – UNITED KINGDOM — Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – FRENCH — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: FRENCH – UNITED KINGDOM — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – FRENCH — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – PROSECUTOR — Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – SPANISH — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: SPAIN – UNITED KINGDOM — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: SPANISH – UNITED KINGDOM — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: SPANISH – UNITED KINGDOM — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: COMPANY – CHINA — United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – SPANISH — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – SPAIN — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: FRENCH – UNITED KINGDOM — Newlyn, Cornwall, United Kingdom
Material cooperation: RED CROSS – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM — West Midlands, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED STATES — United Kingdom
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM — Strood, Medway, United Kingdom