Rejection: VIRGINIA – GOVERNMENT — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Disapproval: UKRAINE – CHRISTIANITY — Donbas, Ukraine (general), Ukraine
- Intent to cooperate: JAPAN — Japan
- Diplomatic cooperation: SPIRITUALISM – EUROPEAN — Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Assault: GUNMEN — Ogbomoso, Oyo, Nigeria
- Diplomatic cooperation: QATAR – MILITARY — Doha, Ad Daw?ah, Qatar
- Diplomatic cooperation: SOUTH KOREA – KENYA — France
- Consultation: UKRAINE – NAVAL OFFICER — Alblasserdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands
- Consultation: AFRICA – JOHANNESBURG — Kwazulu, Eastern Cape, South Africa
The events behind it
Rejection: AUSTRALIA — Caledonia, Queensland, Australia
Rejection: NEW CALEDONIA – AUSTRALIA — Caledonia, Queensland, Australia
Rejection: NEW CALEDONIA — Caledonia, Queensland, Australia
Rejection: MEDIA — Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Rejection: PREMIER — Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA — Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA – DISTRICT COURT — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Rejection: COUNSEL — Australia
Rejection: CHINA — Australia
Rejection: JUDGE – AUSTRALIA — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Rejection: JUDGE — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA — Australia
Rejection: NATIONAL PRESS – AUSTRALIA — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Rejection: NATIONAL PRESS — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Rejection: HYUNDAI – AUSTRALIA — Australia
Rejection: MAGISTRATE – INDUSTRY — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Rejection: AUSTRALIA – ISLAMIC — Melbourne, Victoria, Australia