Aid provision: SRI LANKA β ARMED FORCES β India
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (62% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Threat: LEBANON β IRAN β Tehran, Tehran, Iran
- Consultation: PRESIDENT β FRANCE β Doha, Ad Daw?ah, Qatar
- Public statement: UTTAR PRADESH β FARMER β Jewar, India (general), India
- Material cooperation: IRISH β Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
- Coercion: SUDANESE β Ireland
- Public statement: SWITZERLAND β IRAN β Switzerland
- Public statement: GREEK β Athens, AttikΓR, Greece
- Consultation: CUBA β UNITED STATES β Contramaestre, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
The events behind it
Aid provision: TYRE β India
Aid provision: CANADIAN β Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Aid provision: COMPANIES β Shirdi, Maharashtra, India
Aid provision: ENGINEER β New Delhi, Delhi, India
Aid provision: MUMBAI β Uttar Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, India
Aid provision: MEGHALAYA β CHIEF MINISTER β India
Aid provision: ASSAM β Santipur, West Bengal, India
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT β INVESTOR β India
Aid provision: FINANCE MINIST β CHENNAI β Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
Aid provision: REGULATOR β Karnataka, Karnataka, India
Aid provision: SRI LANKAN β ARMED FORCES β India
Aid provision: SRI LANKA β ARMED FORCES β India
Aid provision: SRI LANKAN β ARMED FORCES β India
Aid provision: SRI LANKAN β ARMED FORCES β India
Aid provision: INVESTOR β UNITED STATES β India
Aid provision: PUBLIC SECTOR β India
Aid provision: KARNATAKA β Karnataka, Karnataka, India
Aid provision: CONGRESS β New Delhi, Delhi, India
Aid provision: BUSINESS β India
Aid provision: KARNATAKA β Karnataka, Karnataka, India