Public statement: INTELLIGENCE — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland

No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 8 days (62% of the days we've watched).

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.

Patterns that recur together

On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.

Threat: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran1.7× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~24h00m earlier
Consultation: PRESIDENT – FRANCE — Doha, Ad Daw?ah, Qatar1.7× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~24h00m earlier
Public statement: POLICE — Dehradun, Uttaranchal, India1.6× lift · together on 8 of 8 days · typically ~0m later
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT — Haryana, Haryana, India1.6× lift · together on 8 of 8 days · typically ~0m later
Coercion: PRISON — Dublin, Dublin, Ireland1.6× lift · together on 8 of 8 days · typically ~0m later
Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM — Strood, Medway, United Kingdom1.6× lift · together on 8 of 8 days · typically ~0m later
Consultation: GUYANA – MIGRANT — Cuba1.6× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later
Public statement: THAILAND – MEDIA — Don Mueang, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand1.6× lift · together on 7 of 7 days · typically ~0m later

The events behind it

Public statement: UNITED STATES — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: US OFFICIAL — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: US OFFICIAL – SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: GENEVA – MILITARY — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: INTELLIGENCE — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: CITIZEN – BERN — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Bern, Bern, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: ADMINISTRATION – IRAN — Switzerland
Geopolitics✓ corroborated · 55%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: IRAN – SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: PRESIDENT — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: SWITZERLAND – IRAN — Lake Lucerne, Switzerland (general), Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Lake Lucerne, Switzerland (general), Sw…·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: SWITZERLAND — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: VILLAGE — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: SWISS – QATAR — Nidwalden, Nidwalden, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Nidwalden, Nidwalden, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: SWISS – UNITED STATES — Nidwalden, Nidwalden, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Nidwalden, Nidwalden, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: PRESIDENT – IRAN — Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: GENEVA – REUTERS — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: SWITZERLAND – REUTERS — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: POLICE – REUTERS — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: PROTESTER – REUTERS — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC
Public statement: SWITZERLAND – ISRAEL — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Geopolitics⚠ unverified · 35%Geneva, Genè, Switzerland·2026-06-17 00:00 UTC

← Back to the live map

🔁 Public statement: INTELLIGENCE — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland

How accurate have we been?

Patterns that recur together

The events behind it

Public statement: INTELLIGENCE — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland