Public statement: IRAN – SWITZERLAND — Lebanon
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days (45% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Appeal: CHANCELLOR — Germany
- Public statement: MINIST – AIRLINE — Bangkok, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand
- Consultation: PRISONER — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
- Public statement: ATHENS – COMMUNITY — Athens, AttikíR, Greece
- Coercion: IRELAND – UNITED KINGDOM — Dundalk, Louth, Ireland
- Public statement: BIRMINGHAM – CHRISTIAN — Anatolia, Turkey (general), Turkey
- Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – FRANCE — United Kingdom
- Public statement: MINIST OF AGRICULTURE — Odisha, Orissa, India
The events behind it
Public statement: MILITARY – LEBANON — Lebanon
Public statement: LEBANON – REUTERS — Lebanon
Public statement: ISRAEL — Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN – REUTERS — Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN — Lebanon
Public statement: MEDIA – ISRAEL — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN – LEBANON — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN – UNITED STATES — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: PRESIDENT – GENEVA — Lebanon
Public statement: LEBANON — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: PRESIDENT — Lebanon
Public statement: BEIRUT – IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: LEBANON – IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: LONDON – IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: POLICE – NASHVILLE — Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN – PAKISTANI — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN – PAKISTAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: BEIRUT – IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN – SWITZERLAND — Lebanon
Public statement: IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon