Disapproval: GOVERNMENT — Australia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (73% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Armed clash: LEBANON — Lebanon
- Consultation: JAPAN – FRANCE — West Bank
- Appeal: LAWMAKER — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
- Coercion: CRIMEA – UKRAINIAN — Moscow, Moskva, Russia
- Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — South Africa
- Armed clash: BOTSWANA – BUSINESS — China
- Consultation: MALAWI — Malawi
- Diplomatic cooperation: GOVERNMENT — Scottburgh, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
The events behind it
Disapproval: UNITED KINGDOM — Australia
Disapproval: STUDENT — Griffith East Public School, New South Wales, Australia
Disapproval: STUDENT — Tumut, New South Wales, Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA — Pike River, South Australia, Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA – SENATOR — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Disapproval: MELBOURNE – KIDNAPPER — Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Disapproval: SYRIAN — Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Disapproval: PROTESTER — Australia
Disapproval: PROTESTER – AUSTRALIA — Australia
Disapproval: REFUGEE — Australia
Disapproval: MEDIA — Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA – ANTHONY ALBANESE — Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA – INVESTOR — Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA – GOVERNMENT — Australia
Disapproval: INVESTOR — Australia
Disapproval: MIGRANT — Australia
Disapproval: AUSTRALIA — Wangi Wangi, New South Wales, Australia
Disapproval: UNITED STATES — Australia