Consultation: MALAWI β Malawi
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (70% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Armed clash: THAILAND β TAGALOG β Wang Wei, Anhui, China
- Consultation: AFRICA β NAIROBI β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
- Coercion: RUSSIA β Russia
- Intent to cooperate: AFRICA β WORKER β South Africa
- Concession: COMPANY β Saint-Genis-Pouilly, RhΓ΄Alpes, France
- Concession: IRAN β Gulf Of Oman, Iran (general), Iran
- Diplomatic cooperation: COMMUNITY β Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
- Threat: UNITED KINGDOM β CANADA β United Kingdom
The events behind it
Consultation: MALAWIAN β PRESIDENT β Malawi
Consultation: GOVERNMENT β AFRICA β Malawi
Consultation: AFRICA β GOVERNMENT β Malawi
Consultation: MALAWIAN β AFRICA β Malawi
Consultation: AFRICA β MALAWIAN β Malawi
Consultation: SOUTH KOREAN β AUSTRALIA β Malawi
Consultation: SOUTH KOREA β AUSTRALIA β Malawi
Consultation: MALAWIAN β POLICE β Phiri, Mzimba, Malawi
Consultation: PROFESSOR β Malawi
Consultation: PROFESSOR β PHILIPPINE β Malawi
Consultation: PHILIPPINE β Malawi
Consultation: ZULU β Malawi
Consultation: MALAWI β Malawi
Consultation: ZULU β Malawi
Consultation: MALAWI β Malawi
Consultation: ARGENTINA β JAPANESE β Malawi
Consultation: ARGENTINA β SOUTH KOREA β Malawi
Consultation: ARGENTINA β SOUTH KOREAN β Malawi
Consultation: ARGENTINA β SOUTH KOREAN β Malawi
Consultation: AUSTRALIA β JAPAN β Malawi