Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA — South Africa
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (70% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Armed clash: GUINEA – CHINA — China
- Concession: ADMINISTRATION – TEHRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
- Diplomatic cooperation: AFRICA — University Of Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
- Coercion: CAMEROONIAN – RUSSIA — Ust Luga, Leningradskaya Oblast', Russia
- Consultation: ZULU — Malawi
- Concession: THE UN — France
- Appeal: TRAVELLER — Iran
- Consultation: SOUTH KOREA – EGYPT — Kenya
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA – NIGERIA — Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA – PRESIDENT — Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – AFRICA — Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT — Soweto, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT – AFRICA — Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA – WESTERN CAPE — Gauteng, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — Gauteng, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — Gauteng, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: EUROPE – THE EU — Stellenbosch, Western Cape, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — South Africa
Intent to cooperate: BUSINESS — Soweto, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA — South Africa
Intent to cooperate: FOREIGN NATIONAL – JOHANNESBURG — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: JOHANNESBURG – FOREIGN NATIONAL — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA – FOREIGN NATIONAL — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: JOHANNESBURG – FOREIGN NATIONAL — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: FOREIGN NATIONAL – AFRICA — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
Intent to cooperate: FOREIGN NATIONAL – JOHANNESBURG — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa