Assault: UNITED STATES — Waterboro, Maine, United States
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days (45% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Appeal: CHANCELLOR — Germany
- Public statement: MINIST – AIRLINE — Bangkok, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand
- Consultation: PRISONER — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
- Public statement: ATHENS – COMMUNITY — Athens, AttikíR, Greece
- Coercion: IRELAND – UNITED KINGDOM — Dundalk, Louth, Ireland
- Public statement: BIRMINGHAM – CHRISTIAN — Anatolia, Turkey (general), Turkey
- Material cooperation: UNITED KINGDOM – FRANCE — United Kingdom
- Public statement: MINIST OF AGRICULTURE — Odisha, Orissa, India
The events behind it
Assault: UNITED STATES OF AMERICA — California, United States
Assault: UNITED STATES – CHIEF EXECUTIVE — United States
Assault: UNITED STATES — Waterboro, Maine, United States
Assault: UNITED STATES — Charleston, South Carolina, United States
Assault: UNITED STATES — New York, United States
Assault: NEW YORK — New York, United States
Assault: BUSINESS – LAS VEGAS — North Las Vegas Police Department, Nevada, United States
Assault: UNITED STATES — White House, District of Columbia, United States
Assault: CALIF – STAFF MEMBER — Berkeley, California, United States
Assault: POLICE – MALE — Columbus, Ohio, United States
Assault: UNITED STATES – AUTHORITIES — Tennessee, United States
Assault: MALE — Ocean Beach Hospital, Washington, United States
Assault: MALE — Washington, United States
Assault: CRIMINAL — Ocean Beach Hospital, Washington, United States
Assault: COUNSELOR – AUTHORITIES — Berkeley, California, United States
Assault: COUNSELOR – UNITED STATES — Berkeley, California, United States
Assault: MILITARY – CHIEF OF STAFF — New York, United States
Assault: UNITED STATES – NURSE — Monona, Wisconsin, United States
Assault: GOVERNMENT — United States
Assault: UNITED STATES — Washington, District of Columbia, United States