Consultation: UNITED STATES β THE WHITE HOUSE β Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (62% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Public statement: BOSS β Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
- Consultation: HAITI β GANG β Turkey
- Public statement: MALAYSIA β Malaysia
- Intent to cooperate: BELARUS β Moscow, Moskva, Russia
- Appeal: IRELAND β Ireland
- Intent to cooperate: FRANCE β PRIME MINISTER β Geneva, GenΓ¨, Switzerland
- Protest: PHILADELPHIA β Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
- Public statement: THAILAND β Chiang Rai, Chiang Rai, Thailand
The events behind it
Consultation: UNITED STATES β Brazil
Consultation: UNITED STATES β Brazil
Consultation: BRAZIL β Minas Gerais, Acre, Brazil
Consultation: BRAZIL β Minas Gerais, Acre, Brazil
Consultation: PERU β PERUVIAN β Brazil
Consultation: PERUVIAN β Brazil
Consultation: STUDENT β Brazil
Consultation: ARGENTINA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β KENYA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β SOUTH KOREA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β KENYA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β SOUTH KOREA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β BRAZIL β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β BRAZIL β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β SOUTH KOREA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β KENYA β Brazil
Consultation: EGYPT β BRAZIL β Brazil
Consultation: UNITED KINGDOM β Brazil
Consultation: BRAZIL β THE WHITE HOUSE β Brazil
Consultation: BRAZIL β Tiros, Minas Gerais, Brazil