Intent to cooperate: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Switzerland
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (62% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Show of force: PRESIDENT – NATIONAL GUARD — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
- Consultation: DOCTOR — Turkey
- Public statement: NIGERIA — Enugu, Enugu, Nigeria
- Public statement: DEPUTY – MALAYSIA — Borneo, Malaysia (general), Malaysia
- Protest: OIL TANKER — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
- Consultation: UNITED STATES – THE WHITE HOUSE — Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil
- Appeal: WORKER — Ireland
- Intent to cooperate: LOUISIANA — Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: LONDON – SWITZERLAND — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: IRAN – GENEVA — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: COMPANIES — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: NOVARTIS — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: PRIME MINISTER – MILITARY — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: UNITED KINGDOM — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: IRAN – GENEVA — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: SWITZERLAND — Burgenstock, Switzerland (general), Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: SWITZERLAND — Burgenstock, Switzerland (general), Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: IRAN – GENEVA — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: ISRAEL – SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – PRIME MINISTER — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: FRANCE – PRIME MINISTER — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: GENEVA — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Intent to cooperate: IRAN – PRIME MINISTER — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland