Consultation: SOUTH KOREA β EGYPT β Kenya
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (70% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA β South Africa
- Concession: THE UN β France
- Diplomatic cooperation: AFRICA β University Of Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
- Coercion: CAMEROONIAN β RUSSIA β Ust Luga, Leningradskaya Oblast', Russia
- Armed clash: GUINEA β CHINA β China
- Consultation: ZULU β Malawi
- Appeal: TRAVELLER β Iran
- Concession: ADMINISTRATION β TEHRAN β Tehran, Tehran, Iran
The events behind it
Consultation: SCHOOL β Kyanguli, Eastern, Kenya
Consultation: SCHOOL β Kyanguli, Eastern, Kenya
Consultation: SCHOOL β KENYA β Kyanguli, Eastern, Kenya
Consultation: SCHOOL β Mazeras, Coast, Kenya
Consultation: KENYA β Kenya
Consultation: KENYA β Kwale, Coast, Kenya
Consultation: PRESIDENT β Kenya
Consultation: KENYA β Kwale, Coast, Kenya
Consultation: KENYA β Kenya
Consultation: DOCTOR β Kenya
Consultation: DOCTOR β Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Consultation: KENYA β Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Consultation: DOCTOR β Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Consultation: AFRICA β MOMBASA β Kenya
Consultation: NON GOVERNMENTAL ORGANISATION β Kenya
Consultation: KENYAN β AFRICA β Kenya
Consultation: AFRICA β KENYAN β Kenya
Consultation: NON GOVERNMENTAL ORGANISATION β Kenya
Consultation: INVESTOR β Kenya
Consultation: DOCTOR β Kenya