Appeal: SWISS – POPULATION — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (70% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Armed clash: MAURITANIA – CHINA — China
- Concession: IRAN – SETTLEMENT — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
- Coercion: CAPTAIN – RUSSIA — Russia
- Intent to cooperate: AFRICA – WORKER — South Africa
- Consultation: ZULU — Malawi
- Concession: CANADIAN – FRANCE — France
- Diplomatic cooperation: AFRICA — South Africa
- Consultation: INDONESIA – BRAZIL — Kenya
The events behind it
Appeal: EUROPEAN – SWITZERLAND — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Appeal: GENEVA – GOVERNANCE — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Appeal: AL JAZEERA — Switzerland
Appeal: SWITZERLAND — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Appeal: SWISS – OSCE — Switzerland
Appeal: SAMSUNG – MANUFACTURER — Switzerland
Appeal: GOVERNMENT — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Appeal: UNITED STATES — Switzerland
Appeal: UNITED STATES – AL JAZEERA — Switzerland
Appeal: MAYOR — Switzerland
Appeal: UNIVERSITY — Switzerland
Appeal: SWITZERLAND – UNIVERSITY — Switzerland
Appeal: MINISTRY – QATARI — Burgenstock, Switzerland (general), Switzerland
Appeal: MINISTRY – QATAR — Burgenstock, Switzerland (general), Switzerland
Appeal: QATARI – MINISTRY — Luzern, Luzern, Switzerland
Appeal: PAKISTANI – MINISTRY — Luzern, Luzern, Switzerland
Appeal: SWITZERLAND – WASHINGTON — Switzerland
Appeal: ISRAEL — Switzerland
Appeal: UNITED STATES — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Appeal: AFRICA – AUSTRALIAN — Switzerland